Matt Molnar
2005-09-11, 12:26 PM
For what it's worth, the latest advisories on Hurricane Ophelia from the National Hurricane Center forecast a track in which the storm hits the outer banks of North Carolina on Wednesday, and then heads off shore and north in our direction. The storm has been mostly stationary, meandering off the coast of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina for the nearly a week, fluctuating in intensity between a strong tropical storm and a weak hurricane. It should be noted, however, that the forecasts of this storm so far have changed significantly from day to day...for a couple of days the forecast was having it hit the northeastern Florida Coast and Georgia, and as late as yesterday they had it plowing straight into South Carolina...thing is, the computer models were in strong disagreement and each forecasted a wildly different track. The computers now seem to be converging on a track taking it up toward us, and the official human forecast is agreeing with that.
The images below should update automatically as new advisories are issued:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL1605W5+gif/205509W_sm.gif
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200516_model.gif
The images below should update automatically as new advisories are issued:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL1605W5+gif/205509W_sm.gif
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200516_model.gif